Counting is suspended in Castlebar until 9am tomorrow.
State of things is that Ming is elected, Carty about 9,000 short
of quota. Mullen is eliminated and his 41,000 votes are being distributed. I predict Marian Harkin will get a good lift
from Mullen over 15,000, Higgins will also benefit as will Cope.
My call is if Byrne could ever get ahead of Pat the Cope Gallagher
then Harkin would be safe. Harkin needs 50,000 votes and has Higgins and Mullen
to feed her. However Byrne will transfer very well to Cope and Higgins and
Mullen will also give him transfers. This will be a dog fight but at the moment
I have a crazy feeling that Harkin may be ok.
I’d imagine that Harkin will close the gap on Mc Guinness and I can’t
see Higgins transferring 50% to Mc Guinness.
Carthy still waiting for almost 10,000 votes too.
3rd count
- Byrne 58505,
Carthy 120723,
Gallagher 62071,
Harkin 77798, J
Higgins 43292,
McGuinness 102025,
To be transferred Mullen 41164.
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