| Loughglynn | Gortaganny | Lisacul | Parish | |
| Ivan Connaughton FF | 52 | 19 | 56 | 127 |
| Emmet Corcoran - Ind | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| Tom Crosby - Ind | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Mich Fitzmaurice - Ind | 96 | 28 | 83 | 207 |
| Des Guckian - Ind | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Maura Hopkins - F G | 80 | 11 | 80 | 171 |
| John Kelly - Lab | 97 | 17 | 115 | 229 |
| Martin Kenny - S Féin | 30 | 7 | 26 | 63 |
| John McDermott - Ind | 14 | 1 | 11 | 26 |
| Gerry O'Boyle - Ind | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Saturday 11 October 2014
My Parish and how we voted!
I live in Loughglynn and we are a parish of three village units namely Loughglynn, Lisacul and Gorthaganny. We have 3 polling booths in the parish and this is the way we voted this year!
We want Inexperience! Insiders not welcome! A question of trust!
It’s always sad to see something
end and I suppose the opposite is true too. It nice to be at the start of
something new! Today we really saw the
end of Tom Crosby as a political heavy weight.
A young “inexperienced” brat from
Strokestown Emmett Corcoran has just beaten the experienced former Mayor of Roscommon Tom Crosby in the
first count in Roscommon South Leitrim.
A first time councillor from
Ballaghaderreen in Maura Hopkins got a vote of 5593, A first time councillor from Glinsk just took
a bigger vote of 6220 and the other
first time councillor Ivan Connaughton just topped the poll with 7334.
The system was broken and in fact the whole
set up has been smashed but not by first timers no way it was smashed by “experienced
bankers, politicians and experienced regulators” as Emmett told us on Vincent
Browne on Tuesday night.
Tom fought this battle on his
experience, Emmett on his inexperience! We, the country are fed up with how
things were done. The Mc Nulty affair has displayed that Enda can do the same
things as Bertie or Cowan. We’re fed up!
The parties are taking a hiding
and Fianna Fáil are now probably going to go for Micheal Martin’s head as he’s
the leader! Big mistake lads! You’re calling it wrong! Your problem is closer
to home! The party people on the ground, the local organisation could be your
downfall. The people you choose locally may be the issue. That’s not pointed at
Fianna Fáil or Fine Gael it’s a global sweeping statement!
Can you be trusted??
Count Roscommon South Leitrim
Turnout 33572
Spoiled 262
Valid Poll 33572
Quota 16656
Result| First | Fifth | sixth | Seven | |||
| Ivan Connaughton FF | 7334 | 8863 | 10083 | 12050 | ||
| Emmet Corcoran - Ind | Elm | 1262 | 0 | |||
| Tom Crosby - Ind | Elm | 1030 | 0 | |||
| Mich Fitzmaurice - Ind | 6220 | 9211 | 11722 | 14881 | ||
| Des Guckian - Ind | Elm | 902 | 0 | |||
| Maura Hopkins - F G | 5593 | 7312 | 8476 | |||
| John Kelly - Lab | Elm | 2037 | 0 | |||
| Martin Kenny - S Féin | Elm | 5906 | 7022 | |||
| John McDermott - Ind | Elm | 2944 | 0 | |||
| Gerry O'Boyle - Ind | Elm | 82 | 0 | |||
Sixth Count
| First | Fifth | sixth | ||||
| Ivan Connaughton FF | 7334 | 8863 | 10083 | |||
| Emmet Corcoran - Ind | Elm | 1262 | 0 | |||
| Tom Crosby - Ind | Elm | 1030 | 0 | |||
| Mich Fitzmaurice - Ind | 6220 | 9211 | 11722 | |||
| Des Guckian - Ind | Elm | 902 | 0 | |||
| Maura Hopkins - F G | 5593 | 7312 | 8476 | |||
| John Kelly - Lab | Elm | 2037 | 0 | |||
| Martin Kenny - S Féin | Elm | 5906 | 7022 | |||
| John McDermott - Ind | Elm | 2944 | 0 | |||
| Gerry O'Boyle - Ind | Elm | 82 | 0 | |||
Fifth Count
Fourth Count
Third Count | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Second Count
| Ivan Connaughton - Fianna Fail | 7334 | 168 | 7502 | ||
| Emmet Corcoran - Independent | 1262 | 43 | 1305 | ||
| Tom Crosby - Independent | 1030 | 33 | 1063 | ||
| Michael Fitzmaurice - Independent | 6220 | 151 | 6371 | ||
| Des Guckian - Independent | Elm | 902 | -902 | 0 | |
| Maura Hopkins - Fine Gael | 5593 | 149 | 5742 | ||
| John Kelly - Labour | 2037 | 23 | 2060 | ||
| Martin Kenny - Sinn Fein | 5906 | 278 | 6184 | ||
| John McDermott - Independent | 2944 | 74 | 3018 | ||
| Gerry O'Boyle - Independent | Elm | 82 | -82 | 0 |
First Count
| Ivan Connaughton - Fianna Fail | 7334 | ||
| Emmet Corcoran - Independent | 1262 | ||
| Tom Crosby - Independent | 1030 | ||
| Michael Fitzmaurice - Independent | 6220 | ||
| Des Guckian - Independent | 902 | ||
| Maura Hopkins - Fine Gael | 5593 | ||
| John Kelly - Labour | 2037 | ||
| Martin Kenny - Sinn Fein | 5906 | ||
| John McDermott - Independent | 2944 | ||
| Gerry O'Boyle - Independent | 82 | ||
The Slow Count
There was I on the road to the Hyde this morning and it as
foggy as I've seen this year! Bye election should be sorted by 2 o clock I
figured! 130 odd boxes should be handy enough, there’s only one seat! Anyway I
was there for the Tally did my bit of mixing, chatting, renewing acquaintances.
This is where I’m at total ease! I’m among a group of fellow junkies and we
talk at a level that I can’t normally do. We know the importance of Geography,
History all the things that can have an effect on votes! Pieces of paper draw a
crowd as we look at the latest figures for the Tally.
Hugh “I was reading Rural Rossie great stuff keep it going”. “What did Paddy Power do to you?” All these
comments make a man feel good. Yeah I’m being read. Anyway as I left the Hyde
to go home I started getting phone calls and people were cross because there
was no count at 1:30!! Lads nothing to do with me! “Scotland stopped voting at
10pm and at 6am the following morning they had the result of their referendum! “
Why can’t the Republic sort themselves out?
It’s not just a Republic of Ireland thing either! I read a
piece previously on the BBC website about the manual counting of votes system
in Northern Ireland. Northern Ireland's chief electoral officer Graham Shields
wants future elections to use an electronic counting system. He claims that
there is technology that would allow the process to be completed in a matter of
hours rather than days. "Mr Shields said the system allows ballots to be
read and calculated by a computer instead of being counted by hand. He claims
it had been used in Scottish local elections since 2007 and that it was
"very, very efficient".
My proposal is we continue with Bertie’s pencil and paper
but we use electronic counting of the votes. We can’t trust the voting machines
at the moment. What we’ll get is, results with a paper trail, a quicker result
and we’ll be able to stand over it. What more do we want?
Well I suppose the great thing we have in Ireland is common
sense in elections. We have the “doubtful” votes pile which are checked by
officials and candidates before they are judged to be spoiled votes. In any
electronic counting system the votes that may be doubtful must be checked by
humans as we do at the moment! (Can’t have a German type application of a black
and white rule on doubtful votes.)
That was as far as I know the only issue Scotland has had
with its system which it introduced in 2007!
Will Roscommon South Leitrim By-election be the last manual
count in Ireland? I fear not.
Tally of Roscommon South Leitrim Bye Election Votes
This is the tally figure however the consensus is that this
is not an accurate Tally!
|
Ivan Connaughton - Fianna Fail
|
7077
|
|
Michael Fitzmaurice -
Independent
|
6073
|
|
Martin Kenny - Sinn Fein
|
5677
|
|
Maura Hopkins - Fine Gael
|
5516
|
|
John McDermott - Independent
|
2964
|
|
John Kelly - Labour
|
2011
|
|
Emmet Corcoran - Independent
|
1257
|
|
Tom Crosby - Independent
|
1016
|
|
Des Guckian - Independent
|
896
|
|
Gerry O'Boyle - Independent
|
81
|
How accurate we will see in before 4 o clock!
Thursday 9 October 2014
Paddy Power’s influence on the election.
I’m as guilty as anyone else! I love numbers, I need numbers and when they’re hard to get I’ll use anything that’s there! Odds on elections are grand to chat about but they’re not scientific, or are they?
Lynn what are you on about? Well today at 5:30 I got a message from an old friend who messaged me on Facebook to say “There's some money gone on Connaughton today” so I looked and I saw that yeah the odds had changed and changed a lot. John Kelly had tumbled too but of course we had just tweeted the result of the election in my classroom today and you guessed it, Yeah Kelly topped the poll with 3rd and 4th class in Abbeycartron!! Markets had to be influenced!!
Ivan Connaughton - Fianna Fail 1/9
Michael Fitzmaurice - Independent 9/2
John Kelly - Labour 9/1
Marin Kenny - Sinn Fein 12/1
Maura Hopkins - Fine
Gael 14/1
John McDermott - Independent 20/1
Des Guckian - Independent 25/1
Tom Crosby - Independent 33/1
Emmet Corcoran -Independent 40/1
Gerry O'Boyle - Independent 40/1
Denis O'Brien - Independent 50/1
Previously (last Friday) they were
Ivan Connaughton - Fianna Fail 4/9
Michael Fitzmaurice - Independent 5/2
John McDermott - Independent 5/1
Maura Hopkins - Fine Gael 7/1
Martin Kenny - Sinn Fein 9/1
John Kelly - Labour 16/1
Des Guckian - Independent 20/1
Tom Crosby - Independent 25/1
Gerry O'Boyle - Independent 40/1
Emmet Corcoran - Independent 40/1
Denis O'Brien - Independent 50/1
So why does this happen and does it matter? Well first of
all money talks, so if money goes on to a candidate the price falls! It’s
obvious enough! So what you say! Well it’s like this the media, print and
broadcast are a lazy lot and all of us who have ever done a PR course have been
told that! Remember what you were told about a press release? Well it’s all
true.
When an interview happens, people are asked questions and we
all like to answer the question we are asked. (fact) To help our answer we use
as much info as we can muster to make it sound credible and also to try and be
correct. Paddy Power is quoting Joe Bloggs as hot favourite at 2/5 and Mary Snotts is a no hoper at 16/1. They then say "the bookie is rarely wrong in fact I don't know a poor one!!"
In this election there has been such a lack of information
that all is being grasped. When a bookie puts a person at odds on then they are
talked about, when a pundit is talking about a contest Paddy Power will be
quoted, if you’re in the top four of the market you’ll be talked about. If your
name is mentioned you’re on the path to success! We back winners, we like
winners so when the wind is said to be in your sails it really is in your
sails!! The ultimate self-fulfilling prophecy!
Candidates have spent €500 on worse things than bets on
themselves!
Wednesday 8 October 2014
TV3 Bye Election Debate
We all like Vincent Browne… don’t
we? Well I’ve a soft spot for Vincent
anyway! I was on his radio show four
times and never fared out too badly! #Vinb is a hashtag I regularly use and the
search results associated with it can be great craic. https://twitter.com/search?f=realtime&q=%23vinb&src=typd
Last night was good, it was the
Roscommon South Leitrim debate on TV3. I rushed home from the Roscommon GAA
County Board meeting to watch this debate!
So what happened?
Well Tom Crosby told us he had
experience and Emmet Corcoran told us that was part of the problem. Experienced
bankers, regulators and politicians!! Vinnie joined in and said Bertie had
experience, Cowan had and Mary Harney he claimed had experiences too! Vincent
liked Corcoran!
Maura was on script and was
trying to stick to it. Vinnie is not into prepared answers and likes an answer
to his question! Connaughton had most to lose and he knew it. He played a
blinder and stayed out of trouble! He was never going to win so he needed to
play safe!
John Mc Dermott said his bit and
was grand, John Kelly was strong and Browne seemed to have a bit of respect for
him! Des Guckian spoke about “fracking” and also the need for a special EU
Region to improve matters! We have one of those we call it the BMW. While
talking about BMWs I suppose the line of the night came from Gerry O Boyle who
told us he was “reared on spuds and
politics” I kid you not!
Martin Kenny was safe as well, to
be honest I don’t remember what he said. Fitz was strong, said his bit and like
Ivan he escaped unscathed!
Corcoran won the night, won the
debate and entertained us all. The only problem is the debate makes no
difference nobody really cares and it’s still between Ivan Connaughton and Michael
Fitzmaurice with Maura and Martin still in the game and Mc Dermott too is far
from dead!
Friday 3 October 2014
Week to the Election
I have been getting a lot of requests to write a bit about the election
and I've been just watching what's been happening. Like everybody I'm waiting
for the election to take off! Frankie tried to ignite it last week maybe he
misunderstood Enda's remarks about “all shoulders to the wheel!” Shoulders
Elbows all very similar on any football pitch in North Roscommon when Frank Feighan
wore the colours of Boyle!!??
So we had the debate last Tuesday night on Prime time most people felt it was poor! Can't blame the candidates they can only play on the pitch provided. 10 people debating?? Is it possible? No not ready. Tomorrow it's Radio one in Roscommon and tonight Friday at 9pm Paddy Power is quoting as follows:
Ivan Connaughton - Fianna Fail 4/9
Michael Fitzmaurice - Independent
5/2
John McDermott - Independent 5/1
Maura Hopkins - Fine Gael 7/1
Martin Kenny - Sinn Fein 9/1
John Kelly - Labour 16/1
Des Guckian - Independent 20/1
Tom Crosby - Independent 25/1
Gerry O'Boyle - Independent 40/1
Emmet Corcoran - Independent 40/1
Denis O'Brien - Independent 50/1
As far as Paddy Power is concerned then it’s just Ivan Connaughton of Fianna Fail and Michael Fitzmaurice the Ming backed Independent. In reality that was my call at the start and I still think it will pan out that way!
The people of South Leitrim are seriously fed up as they are not really getting any of the attention. The issues to date are "Water" "Hospital" and it’s all about Roscommon! What about John McDermott of the Hospital Action Committee I expect him to poll very well. John was maybe a lucky man to have been elbowed a few times last week!!
Now let’s get realistic Martin Kenny of Sinn Fein is fifth in the betting yet it’s just himself and Des Guckian from Leitrim. Sinn Féin are popular! Maura Hopkins of Fine Gael, has she a hope? This time no, but next time maybe! Maura is making a fantastic impression on all she meets. A wonderful personality I’m told. She and John Kelly are both from Ballaghaderreen and will cover each other well. Maybe they’ll transfer well to each other and which ever goes first will feed the other a massive transfer!
At the end of the day Fianna Fáil are like a championship team that’s
peaking for semi final and the final is yet to come where as Fitzmaurice is
like a team with players recovering from injury. Getting stronger by the day!
If the election was today Ivan would be the TD however we have to wait another
week. Fitz is coming and coming fast! Will the week be enough? Too much? We
shall see!
Watch Kenny and Hopkins! they're not as out of it as PP might suggest. Mc Dermott to shock, but Fitz and Connaughton to go to the wire???
The others in the race are all doing well, however for a lot it’s a profile building operation. This is like the M50 it brings you to a lot of different roads but never to your actual destination.
Who knows? That’s why we love elections!! More to follow if you want!! Please comment below!
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