Sunday, 25 May 2014

Valerie Byrne Elected


Valerie Byrne Elected

Elected  Byrne (Ind)  1347 1442 1461 1578 1619 1777
Callaghan (FG)  Elim 592 606 650 0 0
Coleman (Ind)  Elim  140 0 0 0 0
Crosby (Ind)   1062 1107 1112 1144 1161 1207
Elected  Cummins (FF)   Elected 1512 1534 1582 1628 1643
Doherty (FF)  1068 1080 1131 1152 1176 1296
Frain (Lab)  Elim  587 606 652 696 0
Garvey (FG)   Elim 674 680 682 739 754 0
Hopkins C (FG)   731 733 734 752 767 929
Hopkins M (FG)  840 867 916 1039 1287 1400
Mulligan M (SF)   1251 1283 1362 1406 1614 1639
Murphy E (FF)   1150 1164 1178 1289 1310 1381
O'Beirne (Ind)   Elim  182 0 0 0 0
Sampey (FF)   Elim  365 374 0 0 0
 Quota  1643

Gerry Garvey loses out!



Pity to see Gerry Garvey lose out! I was elected with Gerry in 1999 and I have to say he was a Councillor I admired. 

Gerry was big into Regional Roads and other forms of infrastructure. An intelligent Councillor I’d say he’ll be missed. Until this year a lot of his neighbours were unable to vote for him because of the nearness of the Strokestown border to him! 

Valerie Byrnes strength this election really damaged Garvey as no Elphin votes were available!  Elphin voted Elphin!  


Anyway Gerry will be busy might even play a bit of Junior B for Kilmore!!!

Boyle 5th count!

John Cummins first man elected and Gerry Garvey is now eliminated!

First Second Third Fourth Fifth Sixth
Byrne (Ind)  1347 1442 1461 1578 1619
Callaghan (FG)  Elim 592 606 650 0 0
Coleman (Ind)  Elim  140 0 0 0 0
Crosby (Ind)   1062 1107 1112 1144 1161
Cummins (FF)   Elected 1512 1534 1582 1628 1643
Doherty (FF)  1068 1080 1131 1152 1176
Frain (Lab)  Elim  587 606 652 696 0
Garvey (FG) Elim   674 680 682 739 754
Hopkins C (FG)   731 733 734 752 767
Hopkins M (FG)  840 867 916 1039 1287
Mulligan M (SF)   1251 1283 1362 1406 1614
Murphy E (FF)   1150 1164 1178 1289 1310
O'Beirne (Ind)   Elim  182 0 0 0 0
Sampey (FF)   Elim  365 374 0 0 0
 Quota  1643

Boyle 4th count




Watch Maura Hopkins climb now with Frains Transfer

First Second Third Fourth Fifth
Byrne (Ind)  1347 1442 1461 1578
Callaghan (FG)  Elim 592 606 650 0
Coleman (Ind)  Elim  140 0 0 0 0
Crosby (Ind)   1062 1107 1112 1144
Cummins (FF)   1512 1534 1582 1628
Doherty (FF)  1068 1080 1131 1152
Frain (Lab)  Elim  587 606 652 696 0
Garvey (FG)    674 680 682 739  
Hopkins C (FG)   731 733 734 752
Hopkins M (FG)  840 867 916 1039
Mulligan M (SF)   1251 1283 1362 1406
Murphy E (FF)   1150 1164 1178 1289
O'Beirne (Ind)   Elim  182 0 0 0 0
Sampey (FF)   Elim  365 374 0 0 0
 Quota  1643

Boyle Count Prediction

As someone who teaches in Elphin I'm delighted that Valerie Byrne is polling so well. The community backed here to the hilt. The change in area also did not help her as she lost Ballyleague where her late husband Gene came from. 

My call on the election here is as follows John Cummins, Valerie Byrne Michael Mulligan and one of the Hopkins with the last 2 seats decided between Rachel Doherty, Eugene Murphy and Tom Crosby! I'd say it'll be two seats each old area so that's going to be Cummins and Doherty, Byrne and Murphy and finally Mulligan  and Maura Hopkins.

I posted this yesterday and I’m standing by my prediction! The biggest loser is Micheal Frain who left a sure Fine Gael seat as he was upset at the lies about the A&E. He would have got the Fine Gael party vote that Maura Hopkins got! 


We shall see what happens! 

Boyle Recount 3rd count.





Total recheck completed and the quota is down by 1. The votes are in order. Couple of tiny changes but Callaghan is now eliminated. Can Frain go ahead of Garvey from Callaghan's votes? If so it will be interesting!


First Second Third Fourth Fifth
Byrne (Ind)  1347 1442 1461
Callaghan (FG)  Elim 592 606 650 0
Coleman (Ind)  Elim  140 0 0 0 0
Crosby (Ind)   1062 1107 1112
Cummins (FF)   1512 1534 1582
Doherty (FF)  1068 1080 1131
Frain (Lab)  587 606 652
Garvey (FG)   674 680 682
Hopkins C (FG)   731 733 734
Hopkins M (FG)  840 867 916
Mulligan M (SF)   1251 1283 1362
Murphy E (FF)   1150 1164 1178
O'Beirne (Ind)   Elim  182 0 0 0 0
Sampey (FF)   Elim  365 374 0 0 0
 Quota  1643

How does my vote work?


How does your vote work?

I have been listening to people on radio displaying a lack of understanding of the electoral system, people in pubs likewise!  I have people asking me how the voting works, how do the votes get transferred. Voters think that giving "a stroke" means something other than a vote. Anyway have a read of this and it might explain a bit about the vote!


In Ireland, the system of voting in all elections is proportional representation with a single transferable vote in multi-seat constituencies (3-, 4- and 5-seat constituencies at Dáil elections).
Proportional representation means that as a voter, you can indicate your first and subsequent choices for the candidates on the ballot paper.
The names of the candidates will appear in alphabetical order on the ballot paper, together with their photographs and their party emblem (if they wish).
How do you vote
You indicate your first choice by writing 1 opposite your first choice and 2 opposite your second choice, 3 opposite your third choice and so on. You may stop marking your paper after 1 or any subsequent preference or you may go right down the ballot paper until a preference has been given to all candidates ending with the candidate of your lowest choice.
When you vote like this, you are instructing the Returning Officer to transfer your vote to the second choice candidate if your first choice is either elected with a surplus of votes over the quota or is eliminated. If your second choice is elected or eliminated, your vote may be transferred to your third choice and so on.
Counting the votes
When polling is over, all the ballot boxes are taken to a central counting place for each constituency. The count starts at 9am on the day after polling day. The ballot papers are then sorted into piles of ballot papers for each candidate.
The ballot papers are mixed, counted and sorted and spoiled papers are rejected. A paper is spoiled if it does not have an official stamp, if it does not indicate a clear choice, for example, if you have indicated two No. 1's on the paper, or if anything is written on the ballot paper by which the voter can be identified. The Total Valid Poll therefore, is the total number of votes minus the number of spoiled papers.
The quota
When the papers have been counted and sorted, the quota is calculated by dividing the Total Valid Poll by one more than the number of seats to be filled, ignoring any remainder and then adding 1 vote. For example, in a Dáil election in a 4-seat constituency with 50,000 votes cast, 50,000 divided by 4 plus 1 (i.e., 5) = 10,000; 10,000 plus 1 is 10,001. This is the quota of votes to be reached by the candidates and it means that only 4 persons can be elected.
Surplus votes
If a candidate receives more than the quota on any count, the surplus votes are transferred to the remaining candidates in proportion to the next available preferences indicated by voters (i.e., the next preference on each vote for a candidate who has not been elected or eliminated). For example, if candidate A receives 900 votes more than the quota on the first count and on examining all of his or her votes, it is found that 30% of these have next available preferences for candidate B, then candidate B does not get 30% of all candidate A's votes, candidate B gets 30% of his/her surplus, i.e., 270 votes (30% of 900).
Where a candidate is elected at the second or at later count, only the votes that brought him/her over the quota are examined in the surplus distribution, i.e., the parcel of votes last transferred to the elected candidate.
If two or more candidates exceed the quota at the same time, the larger surplus is distributed first. The distribution of a surplus is prohibited if it cannot materially affect the progress of the count, either by electing a candidate or saving the lowest candidate from elimination.
Where there is no surplus for distribution or the distribution of the surplus is prohibited, the next step is the elimination of the lowest candidate. Two or more of the lowest candidates must be excluded together where it is clear that they cannot possibly be saved from elimination in the long run. Where a candidate is eliminated, all of his/her votes are transferred to the next available preferences on them.
Counting continues until all the seats have been filled. The last seat can be filled either by a candidate(s) exceeding the quota or by a candidate(s) being elected without reaching the quota because it is clear that he/she is ultimately going to be elected. Thus, if the number of seats left to be filled is just one less than the number of candidates still in the running and an available surplus cannot bring the lowest candidate level with or above the second lowest candidate, all the candidates, except the one with the lowest number of votes, are deemed elected even though none of them have actually reached the quota.
Recounts
Candidates can ask for a recount of a particular count or of the entire count. A recount of a particular count involves examining all papers relevant to that count and moving papers to correct any errors. A complete recount generally occurs only towards the end of the entire count and involves checking all the votes as they stand (without moving any of them) to ensure that each is credited to the correct candidate and that each parcel of papers contains the correct number of papers. Any errors are noted and when the checking is completed, the cumulative effect of all the errors is analysed. The returning officer confirms the results already announced unless a significant error (i.e., one likely to result in a different candidate being elected or excluded) is uncovered, in which case the votes are counted afresh at the point from which the error occurred.

When the count is completed, the Returning Officer declares the results of the election